AMAZALERT examined how global and regional climate and land-use changes will impact Amazonian forests, agriculture, waters, and people; and how these impacts feed back onto climate. 

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“The AMAZALERT project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement no 282664, and was co-funded by many national agencies an institutes.”

Delivery Reports

AMAZALERT Delivery Report on quantifying impacts of fire on climate (D3.3) In this research we have taken some important steps in fire modelling in complex models through the implementation of a fire module in an Earth System model and in a land surface model. Delivery Report 3.3.
Manoel Kardoso et al., Friday 28 November 2014
AMAZALERT Delivery Report on quantifying sensitivity of regional climate of Amazonia to feedbacks from CO2 physiological forcing (D3.2) This report presents an evaluation of the radiative and physiological effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration on the land carbon balance and climate, and of the role of Amazonian rainforest in the global changes. We analyse three idealised modelling experiences carried by eight state-of-the-arts Earth System Models (ESMs) in the context of CMIP5. These simulations serve to isolate the radiative and direct (biochemical) response to the atmospheric CO2 change, which is prescribed to increase 1% per year starting from preindustrial conditions. Delivery Report 3.2.
Juan P. Boisier et al., Thursday 27 November 2014
AMAZALERT Delivery Report: Estimated likelihood for irreversible collapse (D3.4) This report presents a range of different types of information relating to the likelihood of Amazon dieback. Current climate-vegetation models do not have the sophistication and accuracy required to produce a fully quantitative probabilistic assessment for such an event and so this assessment relies on semi-quantitative and qualitative results based on the available imperfect set of model simulations. A range of simulated forest responses are given, but also ranges of the drivers of forest change. The latter has value, as while not directly quantifying forest change, they may be more reliably simulated than the final forest response. An expert elicitation was also carried out as an alternative view on risk. Therefore this report presents different levels of information, both quantitative and qualitative, which overall give a qualitative picture of risk. This can be updated as knowledge increases and more information becomes available and moreover, it can be used to help identify and prioritize further scientific developments. Delivery Report 3.4.
Gillian Kay, Lincoln Alves, Juan P. Boisier, Penny Boorman, Chris Boulton, Philippe Ciais, Manoel Cardoso, Peter Good, Debbie Hemming, José Marengo, Antoon Meesters, Gilvan Sampaio, Friday 28 February 2014
AMAZALERT Delivery Report: Review paper on Amazon ecosystem functions (D1.4) The ecosystem services concept has been widely used in the last years; however, there is still a wide scientific debate about its interpretations, definition, classification systems, framework, and use at different scales. Over the AMAZALERT kick-off workshop results and literature review, we intend to identify and contrast ecosystem services definitions and how these have been used, interpreted, or differentiated. In addition, we aim to distinguish between the provisioning and regulating ecosystem services and the benefits they provide at different scales and how they are perceived by local and global stakeholders. We highlight the main ecosystem services in the Amazon and the potential impacts of the drivers of change (mainly deforestation and climate change) on these ecosystems. Furthermore, the role of protected areas and indigenous territories in the preservation of the Amazon ecosystem is highlighted. Delivery Report 1.4.
Graciela Tejada-Pinell et al., Friday 8 November 2013
AMAZALERT Delivery Report: Priority ecosystem services and initial scenarios (D1.3) There is a fairly good match between the Brazilian CCST visions and the global/continental SSPs, which enables linking them. In short, this initial set of scenarios will allow us to kick-start the process of participatory scenario development in WP4 of AMAZALERT. Delivery Report 1.3.
Kirsten Thonicke, Friday 8 November 2013
AMAZALERT Delivery Report: Two stakeholder meetings in M1 and M18 (D1.1) This report summarizes the AMAZALERT Task 1.1 activities from month 1 to 18 (Identification and management of stakeholders through the project), Deliverable Report 1.1.
Ana Paula Aguiar et al., Friday 8 November 2013
AMAZALERT Delivery Report: Datasets of baseline ensemble of DGVM runs (D2.1) This deliverable presents the database containing the baseline model runs performed with the 4 DGVMs used in AMAZALERT WP2. The modeling protocol for the historical and future model runs is described and the four DGVMs and the resulting database with model runs. The content of the database is illustrated by showing a few maps presenting the forcing data and some historical model outputs of the four models as an example. The future model runs are still ongoing. An assessment of potential climate scenarios has been performed and the results of this assessment are included in the report. Results from the future model runs are not yet available. Deliverable has not been accepted by the European Commission yet. Delivery Report 2.1.
Hans Verbeeck et al., Sunday 1 September 2013
AMAZALERT Delivery Report: Review of existing scenarios and policies and selection of relevant set (D4.1) This document describes the international and non-Amazonian national policies and initiatives that may impact land use in the Amazon in three ways. First, they influence the demand for agricultural and forest products and thus potentially affect production levels and priorities among different products in the Amazon region. Second, they define standards applicable to production practices and, third, provide support for national activities. Further, Brazilian policies and initiatives are described, providing the more specific frameworks and partly financing for national action. Delivery Report 4.1.
Dorian Frieden, Kasper Kok, Naomi Pena, Susanne Woess-Gallasch, Elza Savaget, Claudio Bragantini, Mateus Batistella, Thursday 2 May 2013