AMAZALERT examined how global and regional climate and land-use changes will impact Amazonian forests, agriculture, waters, and people; and how these impacts feed back onto climate. 

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“The AMAZALERT project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement no 282664, and was co-funded by many national agencies an institutes.”

Day 2: October 7 - ROBIN & AMAZALERT - Joint Science meeting


  • 8:30-09:00 - Registration of participants in the reception hall of Hotel Borari
  • Opening Session: Welcome and introductions chaired by Mateus Batistella (EMBRAPA, Brazil) Borari Hotel
  • 09:00-09:25 - Welcome by local representative; by EMBRAPA CPATU
  • 09:25-09.30 - Aim and overview of this meeting - Mateus Batistella (EMBRAPA, Brazil)
  • 09:30-09:45 - Brief overview of ROBIN - Terry Parr (CEH, UK)
    09:45-10:00 - Brief overview of AMAZALERT - Bart Kruijt (ALTERRA, Netherlands)
  • 10:00-10.15 - Questions and discussion
  • 10:15-10:30 - Coffee break
  • 10:30-12:00 - Session 1: WHY are Latin American tropical forests important? Links between ecosystem services (e.g. biodiversity and mitigation, water and carbon, health and climate), chaired by Margareth Simões (EMBRAPA, Brazil): 
    • 1.1 Ecosystem services of the Amazon - Natalia Calderon, (FAN Bolivia)
    • 1.2 Ecosystem integrity: development and application of the concept in ROBIN - Miguel Equihua INECOL, Mexico)
    • 1.3 Importance of recycling and the water cycle for services in and beyond the Amazon - Kirsten  Thonicke & Delphine Zemp (PIK, Germany)
    • 1.4 Carbon stocks, forest productivity and different measures of diversity - Marielos Pena Claros (WU, Netherlands)
    • 1.5. Quantifying and modelling Amazon biomass – comparing plot studies and DGVMs - Tim Baker (Leeds, UK)
    • 1.6 Ecosystem services modelling with land use change and climate change in Latin America - Patty Balvanera (UNAM, Mexico)
  • Group photo, Borari Hotel
  • 12:00-13:00 - Lunch (Tribal Restaurant)
  • 13:00-14:00 - Session 2: What are the drivers of change? Assessment frameworks, methodologies and stakeholder involvement, chaired by Michael Schmidt (tbc):
    • 2.1 Methods and results from stakeholder workshops on “drivers” and “scenarios” - Consuelo Varela Ortega (UPM, Spain)
    • 2.2 Developing extreme socio-economic scenarios for the Amazon involving stakeholders - Ana-Paula Aguiar (INPE, Brazil)
    • 2.3 Mapping forest and ecosystem dynamics in tropical landscapes with remote sensing - Loic Dutrieux (WU, Netherlands)
    • 2.4 Global climate forcing the future of the Amazon: analysis of CMIP5 and beyond - Gillian Kay (Metoffice, UK) 
  • 14:00–15:30 - Session 3: How can we quantify uncertainty in future climate and land-use change impacts? chaired by Brad Christophersen (Univ. of Edinburgh, UK):
    • 3.1 The effects of fire and land-use change on the future regional climate and vegetation of the Amazon - Gilvan Sampaio (INPE, Brazil), Juan-Pablo Boisier LSCE, France)
    • 3.2 Integrated Modelling of ecosystems in response to land use change and climate change - Kirsten Thonicke (PIK, Germany)
    • 3.3 Impact of climate/land use change on vegetation and the water cycle - Hannes de Deurwaerder (Gent, Belgium) / Matthieu Guimberteau (Paris, France)
    • 3.4 Impact of climate/land use change on water resources and hydropower generation - Daniel Rodriguez (INPE, Brazil)
    • 3.5 Development of a GHG emission model for the agricultural sector in Brazil - Tim Killeen (AGTECA, Amazonica) – ROBIN Regional Advisory Group Member
    • 3.6 Tipping points in a simple tree-cover and moisture transport model - Hans Baveco (ALTERRA, Netherlands)
  • 15:30–16:00 - Coffee break
  • 16:00-17:30 - Session 4: What options are there for mitigating or adapting to climate and land use change? Solutions, policies, warning systems, chaired by Barbara Smetschka (Institute of Social Ecology, Austria):
    • 4.1 Climate conditions to identify potential areas for sustainable agro-forestry system: a support for the ROBIN indicator framework - Lucieta Guerreiro Martorano, (EMBRAPA, Brazil)
    • 4.2 Design of an Early Warning System for critical change in the Amazon - Bart Kruijt (ALTERRA, Netherlands)
    • 4.3 The Water Footprint: A generic multi-scale methodology Michiel van Eupen & Laura Miguel Ayala (ALTERRA, Netherlands)
    • 4.4 Assessing the impacts of policy on ecosystem services of the Amazon - Celso von Randow (INPE, Brazil)
    • 4.5 “Payment for Ecosystem Services” Performance in Latin America: What lessons can REDD+ Learn? - Nelson Grima (Institute of Social Ecology, Austria)
    • 4.6 Involvement of Europe – pathways to a sustainable Amazon or not - Dorian Frieden (Joanneum Research, Graz, Austria)
  • 17:30-17:45 - Break
  • 17:45-18:00 - Session 5: Wrap up discussion – What are the synergies between AMAZALERT and ROBIN, what is our message and how can we share our knowledge with stakeholders? Propositions for the future, chaired by Kasper Kok (WU, Netherlands)
  • 18:30–20:00 - Poster Sessions
  • 20:00 - Joint ROBIN/AMAZALERT dinner with entertainment from a folk group

Read a short report.