AMAZALERT examined how global and regional climate and land-use changes will impact Amazonian forests, agriculture, waters, and people; and how these impacts feed back onto climate. 

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“The AMAZALERT project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement no 282664, and was co-funded by many national agencies an institutes.”


AMAZALERT investigates and reduces uncertainties in predictions of climate-induced changes in the Amazon Basin that may result from climate and socio-economic forces. As shown in the figure below, predictions of changes vary widely depending on the model used. The extent and distribution of changes are affected by interactions between global temperature, CO2 and regional rainfall, but also by land-use changes – including those resulting from fire – and socio-economic forces, including those resulting from policies and programs.

AMAZALERT is designed to provide better understanding of the linked processes that drive changes, to reduce uncertainties in predictions, and to lay the groundwork for an Early Warning System. Both Amazonian and international stakeholders have identified the need for a mechanism of this type to assist society in taking action before critical ecosystem services are lost.

Source: Marengo et al., 2011. Dangerous climate change in Brazil. www.ccst.inpe.br/relatorio_eng.pdf